Popular theory is the January 6th insurrection failed and if we don’t take appropriate action it will happen again. That isn’t entirely wrong but the premise is false.
The insurrection didn’t fail. It was wildly successful by advancing the ball. It isn’t a thing of the past. It is an ongoing active coup attempt.
There likely won’t be another physical assault on the seat of government because it won’t work and simply isn’t necessary.
The slow rolling coup is happening in real time in plain sight. It’s voter suppression, gerrymandering, and most importantly, the GOP hijacking of the election apparatus itself. It is all being done legally with little resistance from the courts, and so far bupkis from Congress or the DOJ.
When gerrymandering and voter suppression and other GOP fuckery fails, Republicans will use their enhanced power to simply refuse to certify results they don’t like in states or counties or precincts, because “anomalies”. It will all be legal according to ostensibly democratic processes, and the courts will not deny their legal exercise of power.
And that is how democracy will die. No violent siege. No civil war. Just a relatively peaceful transfer of power from democracy (loosely defined in this case) to minority/corporate rule autocracy.
Unless Congress, the DOJ, and/or the courts step up, there is no stopping it.
None of the above appear to be up to the task.